PM vows to press on with welfare cuts as rebellion grows

Sir Keir Starmer has vowed to "press ahead" with the governments planned welfare changes, despite a growing rebellion from Labour backbench MPs.

More than 120 Labour MPs have signed up to an effort to block plans to cut disability and sickness-related benefits payments to save £5bn a year by 2030.

The threatened rebellion is enough to wipe out the governments working majority in Parliament.

But speaking ahead of a meeting of Nato leaders, the prime minister said the current welfare system was "unsustainable" and could not be left unreformed.

Asked by journalists if he would consider pausing the reforms given the size of the rebellion, Sir Keir said: "I intend to press ahead".

He added that the current welfare system "traps people" on benefits, and was set to fuel "unsustainable" rises in the cost to taxpayers.

He added that the projected increase in the number claiming Personal Independence Payments (Pips) each year was "the equivalent of the population of a city the size of Leicester".

"So those that care about a future welfare system have to answer the question: how do you reform what youve got, to make sure its sustainable for the future?"

Asked if he would be happy to rely on Conservative votes to push the reforms through Parliament, he said: "I have no idea what the Conservatives will do. I dont think theyve got the first idea what theyre doing."

The Universal Credit and Personal Independence Payment Bill - set to be voted on by MPs next Tuesday - would make it harder for disabled people with less severe conditions to claim personal independence payment (Pip).

The rebel Labour MPs have signed a so-called "reasoned" amendment that, if selected by Commons Speaker Sir Lindsay Hoyle and approved in a vote, would stop the bill progressing through Parliament.

The rebels cite the the number of people the plans are expected to push into relative poverty, a lack of consultation, and an inadequate impact assessment on the consequences on the jobs market as reasons why they oppose the plans.

While the success of the amendment is not assured, over half of all Labour backbenchers have signed it, indicating the extent of the potential rebellion facing ministers.

Labour MP Dame Meg Hillier, who tabled the amendment, has called on the government to "listen to this groundswell of opinion" and change course.

Dame Meg, who also chairs the Treasury Select Committee, told BBC Radio 4s World at One the governments communication around the bill has "not been good" and had led to confusion.

While agreeing that the welfare system needs reform, she warned there were flaws in how the plans were being rolled out, and said Labour experts were shut out of the process.

One of the main co-ordinators behind the amendment, who did not wish to be named, has told the BBC the governments U-turn on cutting winter fuel payments had emboldened many of those who have signed the amendment.

They said MPs "all voted for winter fuel [cuts] and have taken so much grief in our constituencies, so colleagues think why should I take that on again?".

It is understood that plans for the amendment began when Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall offered a partial olive branch to rebels by expanding the transition period for anyone losing Pip from four to 13 weeks.

The Conservatives are yet to confirm how they will instruct their MPs to vote on the bill.

Tory Leader Kemi Badenoch said if Sir Keir was "serious" about passing his welfare reforms "he should look again what he can do with us," but warned she would not give the government a "blank cheque".

She added that to secure Tory support for the plans, Sir Keir would have to prove the proposals would both reduce the welfare budget and get more people into work, without raising any taxes.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves is counting on predicted savings of £5bn a year by 2030 from the changes to help meet the governments tax and spending rules.

Under the proposals, the current work capability assessment that determines who is eligible for incapacity benefits will be scrapped in 2028.

Instead, people applying for health-related financial support and disability benefits will only face one assessment, based on the current Pip system.

At the same time, eligibility for Pips will be tightened, requiring claimants to prove they need a higher degree of assistance with tasks such as preparing and eating food, communicating, washing and getting dressed.

Pips, which can be claimed by people in work, are the main disability benefit paid to people in England and Wales who have difficulty completing everyday tasks or getting around as a result of a long-term physical or mental health condition.

The number of people receiving Pips has soared to 3.7 million, up from just over 2 million in 2019.

Even with cuts, disability benefits spending is set to rise from £39.1bn last year to £58.1bn by 2030, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility.

Sign up for our Politics Essential newsletter to keep up with the inner workings of Westminster and beyond.